ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: While there is a substantial body of knowledge about acute COVID-19, less is known about long-COVID, where symptoms continue beyond 4 weeks. AIM: To describe longer-term effects of COVID-19 infection in children and young people (CYP) and identify their needs in relation to long-COVID. DESIGN & SETTING: This study comprises an observational prospective cohort study and a linked qualitative study, identifying participants aged 8-17 years in the West Midlands of England. METHOD: CYP will be invited to complete online questionnaires to monitor incidences and symptoms of COVID-19 over a 12-month period. CYP who have experienced long-term effects of COVID will be invited to interview, and those currently experiencing symptoms will be asked to document their experiences in a diary. Professionals who work with CYP will be invited to explore the impact of long-COVID on the wider experiences of CYP, in a focus group. Descriptive statistics will be used to describe the incidence and rates of resolution of symptoms, and comparisons will be made between exposed and non-exposed groups. Logistic regression models will be used to estimate associations between candidate predictors and the development of long-COVID, and linear regression will be used to estimate associations between candidate predictors. Qualitative data will be analysed thematically using the constant comparison method. CONCLUSION: This study will describe features and symptoms of long-COVID and explore the impact of long-COVID within the lives of CYP and their families, to provide better understanding of long-COVID and inform clinical practice.
ABSTRACT
Background: Contemporary data on rheumatoid arthritis (RA), psoriatic arthritis (PsA) and axial spondyloarthritits (SpA) epidemiology in England are lacking. This knowledge is crucial to planning healthcare services. We updated algorithms defining patients with diagnoses of RA, PsA, and axial SpA in primary care and applied them to describe their incidence and prevalence in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum, an electronic health record (EHR) database covering â¼20% of England. Methods: Algorithms for ascertaining patients with RA, axial SpA, and PsA diagnoses validated in primary care EHR databases using Read codes were updated (to account for the English NHS change to SNOMED CT diagnosis coding) and applied. Updated diagnosis and synthetic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug code lists were devised by rheumatologists and general practitioners. Annual incidence/point-prevalence of RA, PsA, and axial SpA diagnoses were calculated from 2004 to 2020 and stratified by age/sex. Findings: Point-prevalence of RA/PsA diagnoses increased annually, peaking in 2019 (RA 0·779% [95% confidence interval (CI) 0·773, 0·784]; PsA 0·287% [95% CI 0·284, 0·291]) then falling slightly. Point-prevalence of axial SpA diagnoses increased annually (except in 2018/2019), peaking in 2020 (0·113% [95% CI 0·111, 0·115]). RA diagnosis annual incidence was higher between 2013-2019 (after inclusion in the Quality and Outcomes Framework, range 49·1 [95% CI 47·7, 50·5] to 52·1 [95% CI 50·6, 53·6]/100,000 person-years) than 2004-2012 (range 34·5 [95% CI 33·2, 35·7] to 40·0 [95% CI 38·6, 41·4]/100,000 person-years). Increases in the annual incidence of PsA/axial SpA diagnosis occurred following new classification criteria publication. Annual incidence of RA, PsA and axial SpA diagnoses fell by 40·1%, 67·4%, and 38·1%, respectively between 2019 and 2020, likely reflecting the COVID-19 pandemic's impact on their diagnosis. Interpretation: Recorded RA, PsA, and axial SpA diagnoses are increasingly prevalent in England, underlining the importance of organising healthcare services to provide timely, treat-to-target care to optimise the health of >1% of adults in England. Funding: National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR300826).
ABSTRACT
Background/Aims The substantial personal and socioeconomic costs associated with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), psoriatic arthritis (PsA), and axial spondyloarthritis (SpA) make understanding their epidemiology crucial. The Clinical Practice Research Datalink (Aurum) is an electronic healthcare record (EHR) database, containing primary care records from ∼20% of English practices (>13 million patients currently registered). To determine RA/PsA/axial SpA epidemiology using EHR data, validated methods need to be applied to ascertain patients with these diagnoses. To address this, we updated and applied approaches validated in other primary care EHR databases in Aurum and described the annual incidence/point-prevalence of RA/PsA/axial SpA alongside patient characteristics (providing indirect evidence of coding accuracy). Methods Diagnosis and synthetic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD) prescription code lists were constructed, and pre-defined approaches for ascertaining patients with RA/axial SpA/PsA applied. The annual incidence and point-prevalence of RA/PsA/axial SpA were calculated from 2004-2020. Samples were stratified by age/gender, and mean age and gender/ethnic-group relative frequencies described. The study was approved by the CPRD Independent Scientific Advisory Committee (reference 20_000244). Results From 2004-2019 the point-prevalence of RA/PsA increased annually, peaking in 2019 (RA 7.79/1,000;PsA 2.87/1,000) then falling slightly. From 2004-2020 the point-prevalence of axial SpA increased annually (except in 2018/2019), peaking in 2020 (1.13/1,000). Annual RA incidence was higher between 2013-2019 (when included in the Quality Outcomes Framework, ranging 0.491 to 0.521/1,000 person-years) than 2004-2012 (ranging 0.345 to 0.400/1,000 person-years). The annual incidence of PsA and axial SpA increased from 2006 (0.108 to a peak of 0.172/1,000 person-years) and 2010 (0.025 to a peak of 0.045/1,000 person-years), respectively. These years were when new disease classification criteria were introduced. Marked falls in the annual incidence of RA, PsA and axial SpA between 2019 and 2020 were seen, reducing by 40.1%, 67.4% and 38.1%, respectively, reflecting the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on arthritis diagnoses. Stratifying incidence/prevalence by age/gender broadly showed expected patterns (although the incidence of axial SpA/PsA in women increased over time), and the mean age and gender proportions followed those previously reported. Conclusion The approaches we used to determine patients with RA, PsA, and axial SpA in Aurum led to incidence/prevalence estimates broadly consistent with published studies, and patient characteristics as would be expected. These data support the potential of the Aurum-updated ascertainment approaches for use in further studies of RA, PsA and axial SpA. Disclosure I. Scott: None. R. Whittle: None. J. Bailey: None. H. Twohig: None. S. Hider: None. C. Mallen: None. S. Muller: None. K. Jordan: None.